Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/1959.11/18796
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dc.contributor.authorRamirez Cabral, Nadiezhda Yakovleva Zitzen
dc.contributor.authorKumar, Laliten
dc.contributor.authorTaylor, Subhashnien
dc.date.accessioned2016-04-01T14:41:00Z-
dc.date.issued2016-
dc.identifier.citationAgricultural and Forest Meteorology, v.218-219, p. 102-113en
dc.identifier.issn1873-2240en
dc.identifier.issn0168-1923en
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1959.11/18796-
dc.description.abstractCrops experience different climate stresses during development. The magnitude of damage will depend on the phenological stage of the crop and the stress duration. Climate change could intensify some or all of these stresses, thus negatively impacting agriculture. An assessment of staple crop productivity,quality and climatically suitable areas under climate change conditions is necessary to undertake any global initiatives to tackle food security issues. The common bean ('Phaseolus vulgaris' L.) is a staple crop and the main source of proteins and nutrients in Africa and Latin America. The purpose of this study is to develop a process-oriented niche model to assess the impacts of climate change on the current and future potential distribution of common bean and to use this model to investigate the changes in heat, cold, dry and wet stresses under climate change. We used A2 and A1B emission scenarios and two different global climate models, CSIRO-Mk3.0 and MIROC-H, for the years 2050 and 2100. Our results indicate future climate conditions are more favorable for common bean cultivation in the Northern Hemisphere, but are less favorable in the Southern Hemisphere. Heat and dry stresses are the main factors limiting and reducing common bean distribution under current and future projected conditions. Africa and Latin America are projected to decrease with respect to suitability for common bean cultivation. The model projections indicate that a shift in the common bean productive areas is highly likely with a loss of suitability of the current common bean cultivation areas and an increase in cold regions such as Canada, the Nordic countries and Russia. The results indicate the likelihood of changes in climatic suitability and the distribution of common bean at a global scale under a future climate, which will affect regions where this legume is a staple crop and an important source of household income. Regions in the Northern Hemisphere could take advantage of the increase in suitability by increasing the production and exportation of this grain.en
dc.languageenen
dc.publisherElsevier BVen
dc.relation.ispartofAgricultural and Forest Meteorologyen
dc.titleCrop niche modeling projects major shifts in common bean growing areasen
dc.typeJournal Articleen
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.agrformet.2015.12.002en
dc.subject.keywordsNatural Resource Managementen
dc.subject.keywordsEnvironmental Monitoringen
dc.subject.keywordsLandscape Ecologyen
local.contributor.firstnameNadiezhda Yakovleva Zitzen
local.contributor.firstnameLaliten
local.contributor.firstnameSubhashnien
local.subject.for2008050104 Landscape Ecologyen
local.subject.for2008050209 Natural Resource Managementen
local.subject.for2008050206 Environmental Monitoringen
local.subject.seo2008960305 Ecosystem Adaptation to Climate Changeen
local.subject.seo2008960303 Climate Change Modelsen
local.subject.seo2008960310 Global Effects of Climate Change and Variability (excl. Australia, New Zealand, Antarctica and the South Pacific) (excl. Social Impacts)en
local.profile.schoolEnvironmental and Rural Scienceen
local.profile.schoolSchool of Environmental and Rural Scienceen
local.profile.schoolSchool of Educationen
local.profile.emailnramirez@une.edu.auen
local.profile.emaillkumar@une.edu.auen
local.profile.emailbtaylo26@une.edu.auen
local.output.categoryC1en
local.record.placeauen
local.record.institutionUniversity of New Englanden
local.identifier.epublicationsrecordune-20160323-111913en
local.publisher.placeNetherlandsen
local.format.startpage102en
local.format.endpage113en
local.identifier.scopusid84951108886en
local.peerreviewedYesen
local.identifier.volume218-219en
local.contributor.lastnameRamirez Cabralen
local.contributor.lastnameKumaren
local.contributor.lastnameTayloren
dc.identifier.staffune-id:nramirezen
dc.identifier.staffune-id:lkumaren
dc.identifier.staffune-id:btaylo26en
local.profile.orcid0000-0002-9205-756Xen
local.profile.orcid0000-0002-1624-0901en
local.profile.roleauthoren
local.profile.roleauthoren
local.profile.roleauthoren
local.identifier.unepublicationidune:18997en
dc.identifier.academiclevelAcademicen
dc.identifier.academiclevelAcademicen
dc.identifier.academiclevelAcademicen
local.title.maintitleCrop niche modeling projects major shifts in common bean growing areasen
local.output.categorydescriptionC1 Refereed Article in a Scholarly Journalen
local.search.authorRamirez Cabral, Nadiezhda Yakovleva Zitzen
local.search.authorKumar, Laliten
local.search.authorTaylor, Subhashnien
local.uneassociationUnknownen
local.identifier.wosid000370905100010en
local.year.published2016en
local.fileurl.closedpublishedhttps://rune.une.edu.au/web/retrieve/54668045-7f21-47ea-bcad-60d95c61530fen
local.subject.for2020410206 Landscape ecologyen
local.subject.for2020410406 Natural resource managementen
local.subject.seo2020190102 Ecosystem adaptation to climate changeen
local.subject.seo2020190501 Climate change modelsen
local.subject.seo2020190507 Global effects of climate change (excl. Australia, New Zealand, Antarctica and the South Pacific) (excl. social impacts)en
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School of Environmental and Rural Science
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