Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/1959.11/16861
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dc.contributor.authorShabani, Farzinen
dc.contributor.authorKumar, Laliten
dc.contributor.authorTaylor, Subhashnien
dc.date.accessioned2015-03-31T15:54:00Z-
dc.date.issued2015-
dc.identifier.citationExperimental Agriculture, 51(2), p. 244-263en
dc.identifier.issn1469-4441en
dc.identifier.issn0014-4797en
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1959.11/16861-
dc.description.abstractOne consequence of climate change is change in the phenology and distribution of plants, including the date palm ('Phoenix dactylifera' L.). Date palm, as a crop specifically adapted to arid conditions in desert oases and to very high temperatures, may be dramatically affected by climate changes. Some areas that are climatically suitable for date palm growth at the present time will become climatically unsuitable in the future, while other areas that are unsuitable under current climate will become suitable in the future. This study used CLIMEX to estimate potential date palm distribution under current and future climate scenarios using one emission scenario (A2) with two different global climate models (GCMs), CSIRO-Mk3.0 (CS) and MIROC-H (MR). The results of this study indicated that Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Iran are most affected countries as a result of climate change. In Saudi Arabia, 129 million ha (68%) of currently suitable area is projected to become unsuitable by 2100. However, this is based on climate modelling alone. The actual decrease in area may be much smaller when abiotic and other factors are taken into account. On the other hand, 13 million ha (33%) of currently unsuitable area is projected to become suitable by 2100 in Iran. Additionally, by 2050, Israel, Jordan and western Syria will become climatically more suitable. Cold and heat stresses will play a significant role in date palm distribution in the future. These results can inform strategic planning by government and agricultural organizations to identify areas for cultivation of this profitable crop in the future, and to address those areas that will need greater attention because they are becoming marginal regions for date palm cultivation.en
dc.languageenen
dc.publisherCambridge University Pressen
dc.relation.ispartofExperimental Agricultureen
dc.titleDistribution of Date Palms in the Middle East Based on Future Climate Scenariosen
dc.typeJournal Articleen
dc.identifier.doi10.1017/S001447971400026Xen
dc.subject.keywordsAtmospheric Sciencesen
dc.subject.keywordsEnvironmental Sciencesen
dc.subject.keywordsClimate Change Processesen
local.contributor.firstnameFarzinen
local.contributor.firstnameLaliten
local.contributor.firstnameSubhashnien
local.subject.for2008040104 Climate Change Processesen
local.subject.for2008040199 Atmospheric Sciences not elsewhere classifieden
local.subject.for2008059999 Environmental Sciences not elsewhere classifieden
local.subject.seo2008829999 Plant Production and Plant Primary Products not elsewhere classifieden
local.subject.seo2008829902 Plant Product Traceability and Quality Assurance (excl. Forest Products)en
local.subject.seo2008829901 Forest Product Traceability and Quality Assuranceen
local.profile.schoolSchool of Environmental and Rural Scienceen
local.profile.schoolSchool of Environmental and Rural Scienceen
local.profile.schoolSchool of Educationen
local.profile.emailfshaban2@une.edu.auen
local.profile.emaillkumar@une.edu.auen
local.profile.emailbtaylo26@une.edu.auen
local.output.categoryC1en
local.record.placeauen
local.record.institutionUniversity of New Englanden
local.identifier.epublicationsrecordune-20140912-120312en
local.publisher.placeUnited Kingdomen
local.format.startpage244en
local.format.endpage263en
local.peerreviewedYesen
local.identifier.volume51en
local.identifier.issue2en
local.contributor.lastnameShabanien
local.contributor.lastnameKumaren
local.contributor.lastnameTayloren
dc.identifier.staffune-id:fshaban2en
dc.identifier.staffune-id:lkumaren
dc.identifier.staffune-id:btaylo26en
local.profile.orcid0000-0002-9205-756Xen
local.profile.orcid0000-0002-1624-0901en
local.profile.roleauthoren
local.profile.roleauthoren
local.profile.roleauthoren
local.identifier.unepublicationidune:17095en
local.identifier.handlehttps://hdl.handle.net/1959.11/16861en
dc.identifier.academiclevelAcademicen
dc.identifier.academiclevelAcademicen
dc.identifier.academiclevelAcademicen
local.title.maintitleDistribution of Date Palms in the Middle East Based on Future Climate Scenariosen
local.output.categorydescriptionC1 Refereed Article in a Scholarly Journalen
local.search.authorShabani, Farzinen
local.search.authorKumar, Laliten
local.search.authorTaylor, Subhashnien
local.uneassociationUnknownen
local.year.published2015en
local.subject.for2020370299 Climate change science not elsewhere classifieden
local.subject.for2020370199 Atmospheric sciences not elsewhere classifieden
local.subject.for2020419999 Other environmental sciences not elsewhere classifieden
local.subject.seo2020269903 Plant product traceability and quality assurance (excl. forest products)en
local.subject.seo2020269902 Forest product traceability and quality assuranceen
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School of Environmental and Rural Science
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