Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/1959.11/10488
Title: The impact of climate change on the potential distribution of an invasive species, 'Lantana camara' L.
Contributor(s): Taylor, Subhashni (author)orcid ; Kumar, Lalit (author)orcid ; Reid, Nick (author)orcid 
Publication Date: 2012
Handle Link: https://hdl.handle.net/1959.11/10488
Abstract: This research examines the impacts of climate change on the potential future distribution of 'Lantana camara' L., a highly invasive species, in Australia. A process-based niche model of lantana is developed, using CLIMEX software, to estimate its potential distribution. The likely impact of climate change is explored using climate data from two Global Climate Models (GCMs), Echam Mark 3 (ECHAM3) and Hadley Mark 2 (HadCM2). The models are run with high as well as low emission scenarios projected 20 years (2030s) and 50 years (2070s) into the future. Both GCMs show a southward shift in distribution based on the climate data. Suitable areas for 'L. camara' are identified well into the 2070s. Some of these areas coincide with bioregions containing endangered ecological communities which need to be prioritized for management actions. HadCM2 shows a more restricted lantana distribution with most of the continent becoming unsuitable by the 2070s except for some areas of suitability along the eastern coast. ECHAM3 identifies larger parts of the continent, particularly to south-west Western Australia, South Australia, Victoria, Tasmania and large parts of the eastern coast as remaining suitable for lantana invasion into the 2070s.
Publication Type: Conference Publication
Conference Name: SEES 2012: Annual International Conference on Sustainable Energy and Environmental Sciences, Singapore, 13th - 14th February, 2012
Conference Details: SEES 2012: Annual International Conference on Sustainable Energy and Environmental Sciences, Singapore, 13th - 14th February, 2012
Source of Publication: Proceedings of the Annual International Conference on Sustainable Energy and Environmental Sciences (SEES 2012), p. 6-8
Publisher: Global Science and Technology Forum (GSTF)
Place of Publication: Singapore
ISSN: 2251-1903
2251-189X
Field of Research (FOR): 050103 Invasive Species Ecology
Peer Reviewed: Yes
HERDC Category Description: E1 Refereed Scholarly Conference Publication
Other Links: http://www.env-energy.org/PriorYearsPaper2012.html
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