Agent-based Modeling of Migration Dynamics in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam: Automated Calibration Using a Genetic Algorithm

Title
Agent-based Modeling of Migration Dynamics in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam: Automated Calibration Using a Genetic Algorithm
Publication Date
2019
Author(s)
Nguyen, Hung Khanh
Chiong, Raymond
( author )
OrcID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8285-1903
Email: rchiong@une.edu.au
UNE Id une-id:rchiong
Chica, Manuel
Middleton, Richard H
Dhakal, Sandeep
Type of document
Conference Publication
Language
en
Entity Type
Publication
Publisher
IEEE
Place of publication
United States of America
DOI
10.1109/CEC.2019.8790008
UNE publication id
une:1959.11/61425
Abstract

Migration is one of the many responses humans and societies make to ongoing demographic, economic, societal and environmental changes. In this work, we use agent-based modeling (ABM) to study the dynamics of migration flows across provinces and cities in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam. The strength of ABM is that it allows a bottom-up approach that focuses on how individuals make decisions in a complex system comprising various factors. Outputs of our agent-based model are automatically calibrated with actual data using a genetic algorithm. This automated calibration yields some significant improvement in the results, with all observed net- and out-migration data captured within the 95% confidence interval. Sensitivity analysis carried out helps to further understand the impact of critical factors on the final migration decision.

Link
Citation
2019 IEEE Congress on Evolutionary Computation, CEC 2019 - Proceedings, p. 3372-3379
ISBN
9781728121536
9781728121529
Start page
3372
End page
3379

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