Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/1959.11/61378
Title: Understanding the dynamics of inter-provincial migration in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam: an agent-based modeling study
Contributor(s): Nguyen, Hung Khanh (author); Chiong, Raymond  (author)orcid ; Chica, Manuel (author); Middleton, Richard H (author)
Publication Date: 2021-04
Early Online Version: 2021-01-18
DOI: 10.1177/0037549720975128
Handle Link: https://hdl.handle.net/1959.11/61378
Abstract: 

Recent large-scale migration flows from rural areas of the Mekong Delta (MKD) to larger cities in the South-East (SE) region of Vietnam have created the largest migration corridor in the country. This migration trend has further contributed to greater rural–urban disparities and widened the development gap between regions. In this study, our aim is to understand the migration dynamics and determine the most critical factors affecting the behavior of migrants in the MKD region. We present an agent-based model and incorporate the Theory of Planned Behavior to effectively break down migration intention into related components and contributing factors. A genetic algorithm is used for automated calibration and sensitivity analysis of model parameters, in order to validate our agent-based model. We further explore the migration behavior of people in certain demographic groups and delineate migration flows across cities and provinces from the MKD to the SE region.

Publication Type: Journal Article
Grant Details: ARC/IC140100032
Source of Publication: Simulation, 97(4), p. 267-285
Publisher: Sage Publications Ltd
Place of Publication: United Kingdom
ISSN: 1741-3133
0037-5497
Fields of Research (FoR) 2020: 4602 Artificial intelligence
Peer Reviewed: Yes
HERDC Category Description: C1 Refereed Article in a Scholarly Journal
Appears in Collections:Journal Article
School of Science and Technology

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