Understanding the dynamics of inter-provincial migration in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam: an agent-based modeling study

Title
Understanding the dynamics of inter-provincial migration in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam: an agent-based modeling study
Publication Date
2021-04
Author(s)
Nguyen, Hung Khanh
Chiong, Raymond
( author )
OrcID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8285-1903
Email: rchiong@une.edu.au
UNE Id une-id:rchiong
Chica, Manuel
Middleton, Richard H
Type of document
Journal Article
Language
en
Entity Type
Publication
Publisher
Sage Publications Ltd
Place of publication
United Kingdom
DOI
10.1177/0037549720975128
UNE publication id
une:1959.11/61378
Abstract

Recent large-scale migration flows from rural areas of the Mekong Delta (MKD) to larger cities in the South-East (SE) region of Vietnam have created the largest migration corridor in the country. This migration trend has further contributed to greater rural–urban disparities and widened the development gap between regions. In this study, our aim is to understand the migration dynamics and determine the most critical factors affecting the behavior of migrants in the MKD region. We present an agent-based model and incorporate the Theory of Planned Behavior to effectively break down migration intention into related components and contributing factors. A genetic algorithm is used for automated calibration and sensitivity analysis of model parameters, in order to validate our agent-based model. We further explore the migration behavior of people in certain demographic groups and delineate migration flows across cities and provinces from the MKD to the SE region.

Link
Citation
Simulation, 97(4), p. 267-285
ISSN
1741-3133
0037-5497
Start page
267
End page
285

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