A Novel Ensemble Learning Approach for Stock Market Prediction Based on Sentiment Analysis and the Sliding Window Method

Title
A Novel Ensemble Learning Approach for Stock Market Prediction Based on Sentiment Analysis and the Sliding Window Method
Publication Date
2023
Author(s)
Chiong, Raymond
( author )
OrcID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8285-1903
Email: rchiong@une.edu.au
UNE Id une-id:rchiong
Fan, Zongwen
Hu, Zhongyi
Dhakal, Sandeep
Type of document
Journal Article
Language
en
Entity Type
Publication
Publisher
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers
Place of publication
United States of America
DOI
10.1109/TCSS.2022.3182375
UNE publication id
une:1959.11/61347
Abstract

Financial news disclosures provide valuable information for traders and investors while making stock market investment decisions. Essential but challenging, the stock market prediction problem has attracted significant attention from both researchers and practitioners. Conventional machine learning models often fail to interpret the content of financial news due to the complexity and ambiguity of natural language used in the news. Inspired by the success of recurrent neural networks (RNNs) in sequential data processing, we propose an ensemble RNN approach (long short-term memory, gated recurrent unit, and SimpleRNN) to predict stock market movements. To avoid extracting tens of thousands of features using traditional natural language processing methods, we apply sentiment analysis and the sliding window method to extract only the most representative features. Our experimental results confirm the effectiveness of these two methods for feature extraction and show that the proposed ensemble approach is able to outperform other models under comparison.

Link
Citation
IEEE Transactions on Computational Social Systems, 10(5), p. 2613-2623
ISSN
2329-924X
Start page
2613
End page
2623

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