The ALMTech Project: Initial Economic Evaluation of the Potential Benefits

Title
The ALMTech Project: Initial Economic Evaluation of the Potential Benefits
Publication Date
2022
Author(s)
Griffith, Garry
( author )
OrcID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5276-6222
Email: ggriffit@une.edu.au
UNE Id une-id:ggriffit
Zhang, Yue
( author )
OrcID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0620-5766
Email: zyue@une.edu.au
UNE Id une-id:zyue
Mounter, Stuart
( author )
OrcID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6637-3756
Email: smounte2@une.edu.au
UNE Id une-id:smounte2
Type of document
Journal Article
Language
en
Entity Type
Publication
Publisher
University of Melbourne
Place of publication
Australia
UNE publication id
une:1959.11/57851
Abstract

In this paper results are reported of an initial assessment of the prospective economic benefits of a project examining the technical and economic feasibility of the use of new carcase measurement technologies for the Australian beef, sheep meat, and pig meat industries (the ALMTech project). Information provided in a report to Meat and Livestock Australia on their Objective Measurement program (the Revised OM Report) is used as input into recently updated/developed partial equilibrium models of the Australian beef and sheep meat industries to replicate the six value proposition scenarios for the beef and sheep meat industries assessed within that report. The Revised OM Report provides the starting values, and then the formal economic models are used to estimate the magnitude and distribution of gross annual benefits after the market reacts to the new information. Benefits are also estimated for the pig meat industry using a similar modelling framework. Adoption profiles from the Revised OM Report are then used to predict benefits out to 2040, R&D and user costs are estimated, all values are discounted to a common 2020 time period, and NPVs and benefit cost ratios are calculated. The estimated NPV for net benefits was $243 million, while the discounted R&D cost was $127 million. The overall Meat and Livestock Australia OM program was estimated to generate a discounted net benefit of $116 million with an estimated BCR of 1.9:1; for the ALMTech project it was $30 million with the same BCR.

Link
Citation
Australasian Agribusiness Review, v.30, p. 1-26
ISSN
1833-5675
1442-6951
1320-0348
Start page
1
End page
26

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