Mapping Soil Salinity and Its Impact on Agricultural Production in Al Hassa Oasis in Saudi Arabia

Abstract

<p>Soil salinity is considered as one of the major environmental issues globally that restricts agricultural growth and productivity, especially in arid and semi-arid regions. One such region is Al Hassa Oasis in the eastern province of Saudi Arabia, which is one of the most productive date palm (<i>Phoenix dactylifera L.</i>) farming regions in Saudi Arabia and is seriously threatened by soil salinity. Development of remote sensing techniques and modelling approaches that can assess and map soil salinity and the associated agricultural impacts accurately and its likely future distribution should be useful in formulating more effective, long-term management plans. The main objective of this study was to detect, assess and map soil salinity and and its impact on agricultural production in the Al Hassa Oasis.</p><p> The presented research first started by reviewing the related literature that have utilized the use of remote sensing data and techniques to map and monitor soil salinity. This review started by discussing soil salinity indicators that are commonly used to detect soil salinity. Soil salinity can be detected either directly from the spectral reflectance patterns of salt features visible at the soil surface, or indirectly using the vegetation reflectance since it impacts vegetation. Also, it investigated the most commonly used remote sensors and techniques for monitoring and mapping soil salinity in previous studies. Both spectral vegetation and salinity indices that have been developed and proposed for soil salinity detection and mapping have been reviewed. Finally, issues limiting the use of remote sensing for soil salinity mapping, particularly in arid and semi-arid regions have been highlighted. </p><p>In the second study, broadband vegetation and soil salinity indices derived from IKONOS images along with ground data in the form of soil samples from three sites across the Al Hassa Oasis were used to assess soil salinity in the Al-Hassa Oasis. The effectiveness of these indices to assess soil salinity over a dominant date palm region was examined statistically. The results showed that very strongly saline soils with different salinity level ranges are spread across the three sites in the study area. Among the investigated indices, the Soil Adjusted Vegetation Index (SAVI), Normalized Differential Salinity Index (NDSI) and Salinity Index (SI-T) yielded the best results for assessing the soil salinity in densely vegetated area, while NDSI and SI-T revealed the highest significant correlation with salinity for less densely vegetated lands and bare soils. </p><p>In the third study, combined spectral-based statistical regression models were developed using IKONOS images to model and map the spatial variation of the soil salinity in the Al Hassa Oasis. Statistical correlation between Electrical Conductivity (EC), spectral indices and IKONOS original bands showed that the Salinity Index (SI) and red band (band 3) had the highest correlation with EC. Integrating SI and band 3 into one model produced the best fit with R² = 0.65. The high performance of this combined model is attributed to: (i) the spatial resolution of the images; (ii) the great potential of SI in enhancing and delineating the spatial variation of soil salinity; and (iii) the superiority of band 3 in retrieving soil salinity features and patterns. Soil salinity maps generated using the selected model showed that strongly saline soils (>16 dS/m) with variable spatial distribution were the dominant class over the study area. The spatial variability of this class over the investigated areas was attributed to a variety factors, including soil factors, management related factors and climate factors.</p><p> In the fourth study, Landsat time series data of years 1985, 2000 and 2013 were used to detect the temporal change in soil salinity and vegetation cover in the Al Hassa Oasis and investigate whether there is any linkage of vegetation cover change to the change in soil salinity over a 28-year period. Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Soil Salinity Index (SI) differencing images were used to identify vegetation and salinity change/no-change for the two periods. The results revealed that soil salinity during 2000-2013 exhibited much higher increase compared to 1985-2000, while the vegetation cover declined for the same period. Highly significant (<i>p</i> < 0.0001) negative relationships between the NDVI and SI differencing images were detected, confirming the potential long-term linkage between the changes in soil salinity and vegetation cover in the Oasis. </p><p>In the fifth study, the effects of physical and proximity factors, including elevation, slope, soil salinity, distance to water, distance to built-up areas, distance to roads, distance to drainage and distance to irrigation factors on agricultural expansion in the Al Hassa Oasis were investigated. A logistic regression model was used for two time periods of agricultural change in 1985 and 2015. The probable agricultural expansion maps based on agricultural changes in 1985 was used to test the performance of the model to predict the probable agricultural expansion after 2015. This was achieved by comparing the probable maps of 1985 and the actual agricultural land of 2015 model. The Relative Operating Characteristic (ROC) method was also used and together these two methods were used to validate the developed model. The results showed that the prediction model of 2015 provides a reliable and consistent prediction based on the performance of 1985. The logistic regression results revealed that among the investigated factors, distance to water, distance to built-up areas and soil salinity were the major factors having a significant influence on agricultural expansion. </p><p>In the last study, the potential distribution of date palm was assessed under current and future climate scenarios of 2050 and 2100. Here, CLIMEX (an ecological niche model) and two different Global Climate Models (GCMs), CSIRO-Mk3.0 (CS) and MIROC-H (MR), were employed with the A2 emission scenario to model the potential date palm distribution under current and future climates in Saudi Arabia. A sensitivity analysis was conducted to identify the CLIMEX model parameters that had the most influence on date palm distribution. The model was also run with the incorporation of six non-climatic parameters, which are soil taxonomy, soil texture, soil salinity, land use, landform and slopes, to further refine the distributions. The results from both GCMs showed a significant reduction in climatic suitability for date palm cultivation in Saudi Arabia by 2100 due to increment of heat stress. The lower optimal soil moisture, cold stress temperature threshold and wet stress threshold parameters had the greatest impact on sensitivity, while other parameters were moderately sensitive or insensitive to change. A more restricted distribution was projected with the inclusion of non-climatic parameters. </p><p>Overall, the research demonstrated the potential of remote sensing and modeling techniques for assessing and mapping soil salinity and providing the essential information of its impacts on date palm plantation. The findings provide useful information for land managers, environmental decision makers and governments, which may help them in implementing more suitable adaptation measures, such as the use of new technologies, management practices and new varieties, to overcome the issue of soil salinity and its impact on this important economic crop so that long-term sustainable production of date palm in this region can be achieved. Additionally, the information derived from this research could be considered as a useful starting point for public policy to promote the resilience of agricultural systems, especially for smallholder farmers who might face more challenges, if not total loss, not only due to soil salinity but also due to climate change.</p>