Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/1959.11/15464
Title: Future distributions of 'Fusarium oxysporum' f. spp. in European, Middle Eastern and North African agricultural regions under climate change
Contributor(s): Shabani, Farzin (author); Kumar, Lalit (author)orcid ; Esmaeili, Atefeh (author)
Publication Date: 2014
DOI: 10.1016/j.agee.2014.08.005
Handle Link: https://hdl.handle.net/1959.11/15464
Abstract: The levels of inaccuracy in projections of global climate model outputs can be reduced by identification of the correlations between the output results of a number of models, which include common assumptions. Some of the invasive pathogen of 'Fusarium oxysporum' f. spp. pose risks to a number of cash crops such as banana, tomato, palm and garlic while some have a symbiotic relation varying from pathogenic to commensal (null effect), up to beneficial effect. Limitation of occurrence records of many single species such as 'F. oxysporum' f. sp. 'cubense', 'F. oxysporum' f. sp. 'albedinis', 'F. oxysporum' f. sp. 'lycopersici' and 'F. 'oxysporum' f. sp. 'vasinfectum' necessitated this study to model the future distribution of 'F. oxysporum' f. spp. rather than individual species. The future distribution of 'F. oxysporum' f. spp. was modeled by CSIRO-Mk3.0 (CS) and MIROC-H (MR) GCMs, and the results were correlated to identify areas suitable for 'F. oxysporum' f. spp. growth for North Africa, Middle Eastern and European countries for the years 2050 and 2100. The projections established that a number of countries will become highly conducive to this fungus, while others are projected to produce marginal levels of conduciveness by 2050 and 2100. We also demonstrate that refining CLIMEX outputs with a combination of a number of alternative GCMs results ensures that modeled projections become more robust, rather than producing purely hypothetical findings.
Publication Type: Journal Article
Source of Publication: Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment, v.197, p. 96-105
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Place of Publication: Netherlands
ISSN: 0167-8809
1873-2305
Field of Research (FOR): 040102 Atmospheric Dynamics
040105 Climatology (excl Climate Change Processes)
040104 Climate Change Processes
Peer Reviewed: Yes
HERDC Category Description: C1 Refereed Article in a Scholarly Journal
Statistics to Oct 2018: Visitors: 567
Views: 565
Downloads: 2
Appears in Collections:Journal Article
School of Environmental and Rural Science

Files in This Item:
2 files
File Description SizeFormat 
Show full item record

SCOPUSTM   
Citations

21
checked on Nov 26, 2018

Page view(s)

122
checked on Apr 22, 2019
Google Media

Google ScholarTM

Check

Altmetric

SCOPUSTM   
Citations

 

WEB OF SCIENCETM
Citations

 

Items in Research UNE are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.