Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/1959.11/11572
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dc.contributor.authorShabani, Farzinen
dc.contributor.authorKumar, Laliten
dc.contributor.authorTaylor, Subhashnien
dc.date.accessioned2012-10-29T14:14:00Z
dc.date.issued2012en
dc.identifier.citationPLoS One, 7(10), p. 1-12en
dc.identifier.issn1932-6203en
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1959.11/11572en
dc.description.abstractClimate is changing and, as a consequence, some areas that are climatically suitable for date palm ('Phoenix dactylifera' L.) cultivation at the present time will become unsuitable in the future. In contrast, some areas that are unsuitable under the current climate will become suitable in the future. Consequently, countries that are dependent on date fruit export will experience economic decline, while other countries' economies could improve. Knowledge of the likely potential distribution of this economically important crop under current and future climate scenarios will be useful in planning better strategies to manage such issues. This study used CLIMEX to estimate potential date palm distribution under current and future climate models by using one emission scenario (A2) with two different global climate models (GCMs), CSIRO-Mk3.0 (CS) and MIROC-H (MR). The results indicate that in North Africa, many areas with a suitable climate for this species are projected to become climatically unsuitable by 2100. In North and South America, locations such as south-eastern Bolivia and northern Venezuela will become climatically more suitable. By 2070, Saudi Arabia, Iraq and western Iran are projected to have a reduction in climate suitability. The results indicate that cold and dry stresses will play an important role in date palm distribution in the future. These results can inform strategic planning by government and agricultural organizations by identifying new areas in which to cultivate this economically important crop in the future and those areas that will need greater attention due to becoming marginal regions for continued date palm cultivation.en
dc.languageenen
dc.publisherPublic Library of Science (PLoS)en
dc.relation.ispartofPLoS Oneen
dc.titleClimate Change Impacts on the Future Distribution of Date Palms: A Modeling Exercise Using CLIMEXen
dc.typeJournal Articleen
dc.identifier.doi10.1371/journal.pone.0048021en
dcterms.accessRightsGolden
dc.subject.keywordsEcological Impacts of Climate Changeen
local.contributor.firstnameFarzinen
local.contributor.firstnameLaliten
local.contributor.firstnameSubhashnien
local.subject.for2008050101 Ecological Impacts of Climate Changeen
local.subject.seo2008960305 Ecosystem Adaptation to Climate Changeen
local.profile.schoolEnvironmental and Rural Scienceen
local.profile.schoolSchool of Environmental and Rural Scienceen
local.profile.schoolSchool of Educationen
local.profile.emailfshabani@une.edu.auen
local.profile.emaillkumar@une.edu.auen
local.profile.emailbtaylo26@une.edu.auen
local.output.categoryC1en
local.record.placeauen
local.record.institutionUniversity of New Englanden
local.identifier.epublicationsrecordune-20121025-163048en
local.publisher.placeUnited States of Americaen
local.identifier.runningnumbere48021en
local.format.startpage1en
local.format.endpage12en
local.peerreviewedYesen
local.identifier.volume7en
local.identifier.issue10en
local.title.subtitleA Modeling Exercise Using CLIMEXen
local.access.fulltextYesen
local.contributor.lastnameShabanien
local.contributor.lastnameKumaren
local.contributor.lastnameTayloren
dc.identifier.staffune-id:fshabanien
dc.identifier.staffune-id:lkumaren
dc.identifier.staffune-id:btaylo26en
local.profile.orcid0000-0002-9205-756Xen
local.profile.orcid0000-0002-1624-0901en
local.profile.roleauthoren
local.profile.roleauthoren
local.profile.roleauthoren
local.identifier.unepublicationidune:11771en
dc.identifier.academiclevelAcademicen
dc.identifier.academiclevelAcademicen
dc.identifier.academiclevelAcademicen
local.title.maintitleClimate Change Impacts on the Future Distribution of Date Palmsen
local.output.categorydescriptionC1 Refereed Article in a Scholarly Journalen
local.description.statisticsepubsVisitors: 183<br />Views: 182<br />Downloads: 0en
local.search.authorShabani, Farzinen
local.search.authorKumar, Laliten
local.search.authorTaylor, Subhashnien
Appears in Collections:Journal Article
School of Environmental and Rural Science
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