Long-time dynamics of an epidemic model with nonlocal diffusion and free boundaries

Title
Long-time dynamics of an epidemic model with nonlocal diffusion and free boundaries
Publication Date
2022-01-04
Author(s)
Chang, Ting-Ying
( author )
OrcID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6065-1305
Email: tchang2@une.edu.au
UNE Id une-id:tchang2
Du, Yihong
( author )
OrcID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1235-0636
Email: ydu@une.edu.au
UNE Id une-id:ydu
Type of document
Journal Article
Language
en
Entity Type
Publication
Publisher
AIMS Press
Place of publication
United States of America
DOI
10.3934/era.2022016
UNE publication id
une:1959.11/56208
Abstract

In this paper, we consider a reaction-diffusion epidemic model with nonlocal diffusion and free boundaries, which generalises the free-boundary epidemic model by Zhao et al. [1] by including spatial mobility of the infective host population. We obtain a rather complete description of the longtime dynamics of the model. For the reproduction number R0 arising from the corresponding ODE model, we establish its relationship to the spreading-vanishing dichotomy via an associated eigenvalue problem. If R0 ≤ 1, we prove that the epidemic vanishes eventually. On the other hand, if R0 > 1, we show that either spreading or vanishing may occur depending on its initial size. In the case of spreading, we make use of recent general results by Du and Ni [2] to show that finite speed or accelerated spreading occurs depending on whether a threshold condition is satisfied by the kernel functions in the nonlocal diffusion operators. In particular, the rate of accelerated spreading is determined for a general class of kernel functions. Our results indicate that, with all other factors fixed, the chance of successful spreading of the disease is increased when the mobility of the infective host is decreased, reaching a maximum when such mobility is 0 (which is the situation considered by Zhao et al. [1]).

Link
Citation
Electronic Research Archive, 30(1), p. 289-313
ISSN
2688-1594
Start page
289
End page
313
Rights
Attribution 4.0 International

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