Cointegration and causal relationships between energy consumption and output: Assessing the evidence from Australia

Title
Cointegration and causal relationships between energy consumption and output: Assessing the evidence from Australia
Publication Date
2012-11
Author(s)
Shahiduzzaman, Md
( author )
OrcID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5843-351X
Email: mshahid3@une.edu.au
UNE Id une-id:mshahid3
Alam, Khorshed
Type of document
Journal Article
Language
en
Entity Type
Publication
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Place of publication
The Netherlands
DOI
10.1016/j.eneco.2012.03.006
UNE publication id
une:1959.11/73806
Abstract

In this paper, we describe our investigation of the cointegration and causal relationships between energy consumption and economic output in Australia over a period of five decades. The framework used in this paper is the single-sector aggregate production function, which is the first comprehensive approach used in an Australian study of this type to include energy, capital and labour as separate inputs of production. The empirical evidence points to a cointegration relationship between energy and output and implies that energy is an important variable in the cointegration space, as are conventional inputs capital and labour. We also find some evidence of bidirectional causality between GDP and energy use. Although the evidence of causality from energy use to GDP was relatively weak when using the thermal aggregate of energy use, once energy consumption was adjusted for energy quality, we found strong evidence of Granger causality from energy use to GDP in Australia over the investigated period. The results are robust, irrespective of the assumptions of linear trends in the cointegration models, and are applicable for different econometric approaches.

Link
Citation
Energy Economics, 34(2), p. 2182-2188
ISSN
1873-6181
0140-9883
Start page
2182
End page
2188

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