Navigating the COVID-19 crisis: the financial resilience of Victorian local government

Title
Navigating the COVID-19 crisis: the financial resilience of Victorian local government
Author(s)
Tran, Carolyn Thi Thanh Dung
( author )
OrcID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5798-0543
Email: ttran43@une.edu.au
UNE Id une-id:ttran43
Kortt, Michael A
Dollery, Brian
Type of document
Journal Article
Language
en
Entity Type
Publication
Publisher
Routledge
Place of publication
United Kingdom
DOI
10.1080/03003930.2026.2669716
UNE publication id
une:1959.11/74699
Abstract

Extensive research has examined municipal resilience to external shocks; however, quantitative assessments of financial resilience based on performance remain limited. This paper addresses this gap by analysing financial sustainability in Victorian local governments across three phases: pre-crisis (2017/18–2018/19), the COVID-19 pandemic (2019/20–2020/21), and recovery (2021/22–2022/23). Using bias-corrected Data Envelopment Analysis, we find that councils’ financial resilience declined during the pandemic. Although recovery was relatively rapid, performance did not return to full efficiency. Both urban and rural councils experienced reduced resilience, with rural councils closely mirroring the overall sectoral decline. Strengthening rural councils’ financial capacity may generate system-wide benefits, particularly during shocks. Second-stage fractional regression results show that factors such as council size, taxable income, and local unemployment significantly influence financial sustainability, especially during crisis periods. Overall, the findings highlight important policy implications, emphasising improved shock-response mechanisms and stronger governance, particularly for rural municipalities.

Link
Citation
Local Government Studies, p. 1-32
ISSN
1743-9388
0300-3930
Start page
1
End page
32

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